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How Caroline Lucas is possibly being gerrymandered out of her seat.


Current

NameBrighton Pavilion
Electorate73430
Area (Ha)2907

No.Ward CodeWard NameElectorate
1E05002425Hanover and Elm Grove11090
2E05002426Hollingbury and Stanmer11223
3E05002429Patcham10773
4E05002430Preston Park10307
5E05002432Regency7031
6E05002434St. Peter's and North Laine12424
7E05002439Withdean10582
-----------------------------
Proposed

NameBrighton Pavilion
Electorate78187
Area (Ha)3395

No.Ward CodeWard NameElectorate
1E05002425Hanover and Elm Grove11090
2E05002426Hollingbury and Stanmer11223
3E05002427Moulsecoomb and Bevendean11788
4E05002429Patcham10773
5E05002430Preston Park10307
6E05002434St. Peter's and North Laine12424
7E05002439Withdean10582
 -----------------------------

source http://boundaryassistant.org/ConstituencyFinder.htm

You will notice the regency ward is removed which has 2 green councillors elected in 2015 and replaced with Moulsecoomb & Bevadean a larger ward which elected 3 Labour councillors in 2015

Now the sitting MP already out performed her party as you can see here

Brighton Pavilion

Parliamentary:
41.8 - Green
27.3 - Labour
22.8 - Conservative
5.0 - UKIP
2.8 - Liberal Democrat
0.2 - Independent
0.2 - SPGB

Council:
34.5 - Green
32.8 - Labour
21.2 - Conservative
5.3 - Liberal Democrat
3.0 - TUSC / Left Unity
2.7 - UKIP
0.4 - Independent

Using the highest candidate vote by party method, so caveats apply.

But with a new candidate or even the old one under pressure it certainly makes for a harder job and it is why here it is being predicted as a Labour gain information at the link below.

Map of what the new UK Parliamentary constituencies could look like & possible outcome