So for the next week I am going to ask my followers on Twitter and you here as to how you see the split is in each political party. This will form the basis of our next table for Leave / Remain forecast.
Swing needed for rUK to swing change EUref vote against England vote share
Above is a link showing just how England can take the rest of the UK with them more or less depending on the result they choose.
click the links below for the information.
euref potential Leave/Remain voters using the UKGE2015 voting figures
European election results could be converted into Leave/Remain votes
And above is links to previous forecasts I have done using my own judgement on splits. There were many replies saying there were differing splits to the one I used. So I have now put it out to you to say how you feel the parties are split.
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Feel free to vote and share these tweets.
How do you feel #Conservative party voters are split concerning the #EUreferendum vote?— General Election (@UKGE2020) April 26, 2016
How do you feel #Labour party voters are split concerning the #EUreferendum vote?— General Election (@UKGE2020) April 26, 2016
How do you feel #LibDem party voters are split concerning the #EUreferendum vote?— General Election (@UKGE2020) April 26, 2016
How do you feel #Green party voters are split concerning the #EUreferendum vote?— General Election (@UKGE2020) April 26, 2016
How do you feel #UKIP party voters are split concerning the #EUreferendum vote?— General Election (@UKGE2020) April 26, 2016
How do you feel #SNP party voters are split concerning the #EUreferendum vote?— General Election (@UKGE2020) April 26, 2016
How do you feel voters from Northern Ireland are split concerning the #EUreferendum vote?— General Election (@UKGE2020) April 26, 2016
How do you feel #PlaidCymru party voters are split concerning the #EUreferendum vote?— General Election (@UKGE2020) April 26, 2016