Breakdown of the Comres polling

It is interesting to see how opinion poll companies weight from the respondents they get to find what is then meant to be the true reflection.

But having just looked through the Comres data tables, which you will find a link for at the bottom, It looks slightly strange, the weighting for the Conservatives makes a jump of 7% from 28% to 35% and Labour doesn't move.

When asking questions of who they would vote for including DKs and how do they see themselves to be, including DKs Labour had a 2% lead over the Conservatives, even in the table where it asked those who DK that if it was a legal requirement for people to vote? Labour edge it over the Conservatives although 50% still said DK.

So where did the Conservative surge come from?

As England has the most voters Labour were holding their own there as well with a 3% lead but when weighted that also turned around to a lead for the Conservatives.

Is it Shy Tory syndrome at work?

Seems strange feel free to comment.

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Comres Poll

sample unweighted with DK (Weighted w/o DK)

LAB 30% (30%)
CON 28% (35%)
UKIP 15% (16%)
LD 6% (8%)
G 4% (4%)

DK 11%

— General Election (@UKGE2020) April 17, 2016

Latest Comres poll for Independent / TheSundayMirror:

Con 35% (-3)
Lab 30% (+1)
UKIP 16% (NC)
LD 8% (+1)
SNP 5% (+1)
Green 4% (NC)

— General Election (@UKGE2020) April 17, 2016

Comres

Which of these political figures would you most like on your pub Quiz team

Boris 40%
Corbyn 19%
Farage 16%
Cameron 14%
Sturgeon 11%

— General Election (@UKGE2020) April 17, 2016

Comres
Which of these political figures would you most like on Summer holiday with you

Boris 41%
Sturgeon 24%
Corbyn 13%
Cameron 11%

— General Election (@UKGE2020) April 17, 2016

Comres
Which of these political figures would you most like to manage your financial affairs

Cameron 36%
Sturgeon 19%
Corbyn 19%
Boris 16%

— General Election (@UKGE2020) April 17, 2016

Comres

% of a parties voters who say they are Absolutely certain to vote 10/10

SNP 85%
UKIP 76%
LAB 69%
LD 68%
CON 67%
GRN 59%

— General Election (@UKGE2020) April 17, 2016

Curious from comres

Table 3/1 3/2 3/3 include DK

LAB 30%
CON 28%
UKIP 15%

Table 6/1 Turnout weighted

CON 35%
LAB 30%
UKIP 16%

— General Election (@UKGE2020) April 17, 2016

Comres

England sub sample unweighted with DK (Weighted w/o DK)

LAB 32% (32%)
CON 29% (37%)
UKIP 17% (18%)
LD 6% (9%)
G 4% (4%)

DK 11%

— General Election (@UKGE2020) April 17, 2016

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link to data tables from comres