The actual full data is still to be published by ICM and we just have the headline rate to go by.
The headline rate was
Lib Dems 9%
For the purpose of the calculator we had to shave 0.1% off each forecast as it came to more than 100%
Now the calculator can't account for regional variations as we don't have the data to input and as we have shown here the Lib Dems already seem to be on their way back to re gaining seats they lost in 2015 >>>>>Click here to see data
So I think any gains the Conservatives would make, would only then be lost to the Lib Dems. So yes it is a 10% poll lead but not much of change in the amount of seats each party has.
The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.
National Prediction: Conservative majority 40
|Party||2015 Votes||2015 Seats||Pred Votes||Gains||Losses||Net Change||Pred Seats|
List of predicted seat changes
|Seat||County/Area||Predicted Change||MP as at 2015|
|Barrow and Furness||Cumbria||CON||gain from||LAB||: John Woodcock|
|Brentford and Isleworth||Hounslow||CON||gain from||LAB||: Ruth Cadbury|
|Cambridge||Cambridgeshire||LIB||gain from||LAB||: Daniel Zeichner|
|Chester, City of||Cheshire||CON||gain from||LAB||: Chris Matheson|
|Dewsbury||West Yorkshire||CON||gain from||LAB||: Paula Sherriff|
|Ealing Central and Acton||Ealing||CON||gain from||LAB||: Rupa Huq|
|Enfield North||Enfield||CON||gain from||LAB||: Joan Ryan|
|Halifax||West Yorkshire||CON||gain from||LAB||: Holly Lynch|
|Hampstead and Kilburn||Camden||CON||gain from||LAB||: Tulip Siddiq|
|Hove||East Sussex||CON||gain from||LAB||: Peter Kyle|
|Ilford North||Redbridge||CON||gain from||LAB||: Wes Streeting|
|Lancaster and Fleetwood||Lancashire||CON||gain from||LAB||: Catherine Smith|
|Newcastle-under-Lyme||Staffordshire||CON||gain from||LAB||: Paul Farrelly|
|Wirral West||Merseyside||CON||gain from||LAB||: Margaret Greenwood|
|Wolverhampton South West||Black Country||CON||gain from||LAB||: Rob Marris|
|Ynys Mon||Gwynedd||NAT||gain from||LAB||: Albert Owen|
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2015. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.