Method: UK adults aged 18+ interviewed online
Full data tables can be viewed here:
State of the Parties:
CON 32%
LAB 32%
UKIP 16%
LD 9%
SNP 4%
Others 7%
Following the result of the EU Referendum, David Cameron will resign in October as Leader of the Conservative Party. Of the following potential candidates who do you think should replace him as leader?
ALL
|
CON 2015
| |
Boris Johnson
|
28%
|
30%
|
George Osborne
|
7%
|
9%
|
Theresa May
|
13%
|
20%
|
Michael Gove
|
6%
|
7%
|
Jeremy Hunt
|
1%
|
2%
|
Ruth Davidson
|
6%
|
4%
|
Stephen Crabb
|
2%
|
2%
|
Don’t know
|
37%
|
26%
|
(excl. DK)
ALL
|
Con 2015
| |
Boris Johnson
|
45%
|
40%
|
George Osborne
|
11%
|
12%
|
Theresa May
|
21%
|
27%
|
Michael Gove
|
10%
|
10%
|
Jeremy Hunt
|
2%
|
2%
|
Ruth Davidson
|
9%
|
5%
|
Stephen Crabb
|
2%
|
3%
|
=> Theresa May the only candidate noticeably more favourable
with CON 2015 voters than public as a whole.
Which of the following is closest to your view?
ALL
|
CON 2015
| |
David Cameron was right to announce he will resign by October
|
52%
|
43%
|
David Cameron was wrongto announce he will resign by October
|
34%
|
49%
|
Don’t know
|
13%
|
8%
|
=> Majority of public think Cameron was right to resign. CON 2015 voters more split, slightly lean towards he was wrong.
If you had to pick one of the two following pairs, which would you prefer as next leader of the Conservative Party?
ALL
|
CON 2015
| |
Boris Johnson
|
61%
|
58%
|
George Osborne
|
39%
|
42%
|
ALL
|
CON 2015
| |
| Boris Johnson |
50%
|
47%
|
Theresa May
|
50%
|
53%
|
ALL
|
CON 2015
| |
Boris Johnson
|
58%
|
60%
|
Michael Gove
|
42%
|
40%
|
ALL
|
CON 2015
| |
Boris Johnson
|
62%
|
67%
|
Jeremy Hunt
|
38%
|
33%
|
ALL
|
CON 2015
| |
Boris Johnson
|
56%
|
63%
|
Ruth Davidson
|
44%
|
37%
|
ALL
|
CON 2015
| |
Boris Johnson
|
61%
|
66%
|
George Osborne
|
39%
|
34%
|
Note: Theresa May again the only one who would "run Johnson close" in this scenario (he did actually edge it in unrounded
figs, 50.4% for him and 49.6% for May). All the others similarly popular, besides perhaps Ruth Davidson.
figs, 50.4% for him and 49.6% for May). All the others similarly popular, besides perhaps Ruth Davidson.
Boris Johnson joined the Leave campaign in February.
Which of the following statements is closest to your view?
ALL
|
CON 2015
| |
Boris Johnson’s primary motivation for joining was that leaving the EU was best for the UK
|
36%
|
40%
|
Boris Johnson’s primary motivation for joining was that it would help him become Prime Minister
|
38%
|
40%
|
Neither were his primary motivation for joining.
|
9%
|
8%
|
Don’t know
|
17%
|
12%
|
Both the public and Con 2015 voters split on this.
Do Leave voters regret voting leave?
Yes - 7%
No - 93%
Do Remain voters regret voting remain?
Yes - 4%
No - 96%
Which of the following statements is closest to your view?
ALL
|
CON 2015
|
LEAVE
|
REMAIN
| |
David Cameron was right to call the referendum
|
55%
|
65%
|
84%
|
30%
|
David Cameron was wrong to call the referendum
|
34%
|
30%
|
9%
|
60%
|
Don’t know
|
11%
|
5%
|
7%
|
10%
|
=> Majority of public think Cameron was right to call referendum. Nearly 1/3 of remainers also think he was right
If the European Union offers further concessions to the UK regarding its membership, which of the following statements is closest to your opinion?
ALL
|
LEAVE
|
REMAIN
| |
There should be second referendum
|
41%
|
18%
|
65%
|
There should not be a second referendum
|
47%
|
73%
|
24%
|
Don’t know
|
12%
|
9%
|
11%
|
Specifically, if the European Union agreed to exempt the UK from the free movement of people, how would you vote if there was a second referendum?
ALL
|
LEAVE
|
REMAIN
| |
Vote to Leave
|
37%
|
75%
|
2%
|
Vote to Remain
|
49%
|
11%
|
92%
|
Don’t know
|
13%
|
14%
|
6%
|
Refused
|
1%
|
<1%
|
<1%
|
One in ten leavers would vote remain if the European Union agreed to exempt the UK from the free movement of people.
Nicola Sturgeon has said that a second Scottish Independence Referendum is “highly likely” following
the EU Referendum result saying it was "democratically unacceptable" that Scotland faced the prospect
of leaving the EU as majority of Scots that voted were in favour of remain.
Which of the following statements is closest to your opinion?
ALL
|
ENGLAND
|
SCOTLAND*
| |
Scotland should hold a second independence referendum
|
41%
|
42%
|
48%*
|
Scotland should not hold a second independence referendum
|
43%
|
42%
|
44%*
|
Don’t know
|
16%
|
17%
|
8%*
|
*Scotland sub sample is very small n=83 so margin of error very high and subject to sample error.
England sample is split over whether Scotland should hold a second IndyRef following the EU result.
[TO LEAVERS ONLY]
Had you known that a Leave victory could result in a second Scottish Independence Referendum, would this have...?
Had you known that a Leave victory could result in a second Scottish Independence Referendum, would this have...?
Changed - 3%
Not changed - 92%
DK - 5%
How do you think the UK leaving the EU will affect the following over the next five years?
For the better
|
For the worse
|
Neither for the better nor worse
| |
Your employment
|
23%
|
26%
|
52%
|
Your personal Income
|
20%
|
37%
|
42%
|
Your pension
|
19%
|
36%
|
45%
|
The amount of tax you pay
|
19%
|
42%
|
39%
|
Your health
|
25%
|
24%
|
51%
|
Labour Party Leader Jeremy Corbyn faces a motion of no confidence in his leadership after his performance in the EU Referendum from some Labour MPs. This will be debated on Monday at a meeting of Labour MPs.
Which of the following is closest to your opinion?
ALL
|
LAB 2015
| |
Jeremy Corbyn should step down as Labour leader
|
55%
|
53%
|
Jeremy Corbyn should not step down as Labour leader
|
26%
|
37%
|
Don’t know
|
18%
|
11%
|
A majority of LAB 2015 voters think Corbyn should step down.
Of the following Labour politicians, who would you say is the most "impressive"?
Note, official MP photographs were used in this question.
ALL
|
LAB 2015
| |
Chuka Umunna
|
10%
|
11%
|
Dan Jarvis
|
5%
|
4%
|
Andy Burnham
|
16%
|
21%
|
Yvette Cooper
|
9%
|
12%
|
Tom Watson
|
4%
|
6%
|
Sadiq Khan
|
19
|
21%
|
Don’t know
|
36%
|
25%
|
(excl. DK)
Of the following Labour politicians, who would you say is the most "impressive"?
Note, in order to remind the public potentially unfamiliar with names of politicians, official MP photographs were used in this question to remind the public of the identity of the person. Notwithstanding this, some name recognition will play a part in respondent's answers. In the past, Survation use video clip polling to boost the potential for lesser known persons (such as Dan Jarvis) to have a fair chance of assessment.
Note, in order to remind the public potentially unfamiliar with names of politicians, official MP photographs were used in this question to remind the public of the identity of the person. Notwithstanding this, some name recognition will play a part in respondent's answers. In the past, Survation use video clip polling to boost the potential for lesser known persons (such as Dan Jarvis) to have a fair chance of assessment.
ALL
|
LAB 2015
| |
Chuka Umunna
|
15%
|
15%
|
Dan Jarvis
|
8%
|
6%
|
Andy Burnham
|
26%
|
28%
|
Yvette Cooper
|
15%
|
16%
|
Tom Watson
|
6%
|
8%
|
Sadiq Khan
|
30%
|
33%
|
