Link to >>> Forecasts, predictions & projections For Scottish & Welsh elections as well as the EU Referendum.
Link to >>> Map of what the new UK Parliamentary constituencies could look like & possible outcome
There has been an update to Electoral Calculus published on 30 May 2016 at
Political and polling attention was focused away from Westminster during May
towards the local elections and the ongoing EU Referendum campaign. Only four
parliamentary polls were carried out, which did not show much change on the
previous position, with perhaps a slight softening of the Conservatives' lead.
The most recent polls from the four pollsters who published polls in May are:
ComRes (IoS, SMirror) has Con 36, Lab 30, Lib 8, UKIP 17, Green 4
ICM (The Guardian) has Con 35, Lab 33, Lib 7, UKIP 16, Green 4
Ipsos-MORI (Evening Standard) has Con 36, Lab 34, Lib 8, UKIP 10, Green 5
Opinium (Observer) has Con 35, Lab 30, Lib 5, UKIP 18, Green 5
The averages: Con 36 (nc), Lab 30 (nc), Lib 7 (+1), UKIP 16 (nc), Grn 4 (nc).
The new national prediction is that the Conservatives will be one seat short of a
majority, winning 325 seats (-4 seats since 1 May).