Current Prediction: Conservative majority 52
Party | 2015 Votes | 2015 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CON | 37.8% | 331 | 40.4% | 20 | 0 | +20 | 351 |
LAB | 31.2% | 232 | 29.1% | 0 | 19 | -19 | 213 |
LIB | 8.1% | 8 | 6.8% | 0 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
UKIP | 12.9% | 1 | 13.6% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
Green | 3.8% | 1 | 3.3% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
SNP | 4.9% | 56 | 4.9% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 56 |
PlaidC | 0.6% | 3 | 0.6% | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
Minor | 0.8% | 0 | 1.3% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
N.Ire | 18 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 18 |
Source
List of predicted seat changes
Seat | County/Area | Predicted Change | MP as at 2015 | ||
Barrow and Furness | Cumbria | CON | gain from | LAB | : John Woodcock |
Brentford and Isleworth | Hounslow | CON | gain from | LAB | : Ruth Cadbury |
Bridgend | Mid Glamorgan | CON | gain from | LAB | : Madeleine Moon |
Carshalton and Wallington | Sutton | CON | gain from | LIB | : Tom Brake |
Chester, City of | Cheshire | CON | gain from | LAB | : Chris Matheson |
Derbyshire North East | Derbyshire | CON | gain from | LAB | : Natascha Engel |
Dewsbury | West Yorkshire | CON | gain from | LAB | : Paula Sherriff |
Ealing Central and Acton | Ealing | CON | gain from | LAB | : Rupa Huq |
Enfield North | Enfield | CON | gain from | LAB | : Joan Ryan |
Halifax | West Yorkshire | CON | gain from | LAB | : Holly Lynch |
Hampstead and Kilburn | Camden | CON | gain from | LAB | : Tulip Siddiq |
Harrow West | Harrow | CON | gain from | LAB | : Gareth Thomas |
Hove | East Sussex | CON | gain from | LAB | : Peter Kyle |
Ilford North | Redbridge | CON | gain from | LAB | : Wes Streeting |
Lancaster and Fleetwood | Lancashire | CON | gain from | LAB | : Catherine Smith |
Newcastle-under-Lyme | Staffordshire | CON | gain from | LAB | : Paul Farrelly |
Southport | Merseyside | CON | gain from | LIB | : John Pugh |
Westminster North | City of Westminster | CON | gain from | LAB | : Karen Buck |
Wirral West | Merseyside | CON | gain from | LAB | : Margaret Greenwood |
Wolverhampton South West | Black Country | CON | gain from | LAB | : Rob Marris |
Ynys Mon | Gwynedd | NAT | gain from | LAB | : Albert Owen |