Copeland: Overview
Prediction: CON gain from LAB
MP at 2015: Jamie Reed (LAB)
County/Area: Cumbria (North)
Electorate: 62,119
Turnout: 63.8%
2015 Votes 2015 Share Predicted Votes LAB 16,750 42.3% 39.1% CON 14,186 35.8% 40.6% UKIP 6,148 15.5% 13.9% LIB 1,368 3.5% 3.4% Green 1,179 3.0% 2.6% OTH 0 0.0% 0.3% LAB Majority 2,564 6.5% Pred Maj 1.6%
MP at 2015: Jamie Reed (LAB)
County/Area: Cumbria (North)
Electorate: 62,119
Turnout: 63.8%
| 2015 Votes | 2015 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB | 16,750 | 42.3% | 39.1% |
| CON | 14,186 | 35.8% | 40.6% |
| UKIP | 6,148 | 15.5% | 13.9% |
| LIB | 1,368 | 3.5% | 3.4% |
| Green | 1,179 | 3.0% | 2.6% |
| OTH | 0 | 0.0% | 0.3% |
| LAB Majority | 2,564 | 6.5% | Pred Maj 1.6% |
Copeland: Ward-by-ward
Predicted ward-by-ward votes for Copeland
This table shows the predicted general election result broken down over each ward in the seat of Copeland.
| Copeland | Predicted Results | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | Ward | Electorate 2015 | CON Votes | LAB Votes | LIB Votes | UKIP Votes | Green Votes | Other Votes | Total Votes |
| Allerdale | Crummock | 1,188 | 526 | 0 | 12 | 87 | 131 | 2 | 758 |
| Allerdale | Dalton | 1,428 | 459 | 0 | 203 | 171 | 78 | 2 | 913 |
| Allerdale | Derwent Valley | 1,238 | 515 | 0 | 14 | 101 | 158 | 2 | 790 |
| Allerdale | Keswick | 4,016 | 702 | 780 | 384 | 514 | 172 | 11 | 2,563 |
| Copeland | Arlecdon | 1,185 | 237 | 0 | 58 | 460 | 0 | 1 | 756 |
| Copeland | Beckermet | 2,326 | 898 | 210 | 44 | 326 | 0 | 5 | 1,483 |
| Copeland | Bootle | 993 | 614 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 632 |
| Copeland | Bransty | 3,894 | 1,754 | 638 | 11 | 76 | 0 | 6 | 2,485 |
| Copeland | Cleator Moor North | 3,176 | 357 | 1,328 | 9 | 324 | 0 | 7 | 2,025 |
| Copeland | Cleator Moor South | 2,157 | 256 | 1,057 | 7 | 53 | 0 | 3 | 1,376 |
| Copeland | Distington | 3,116 | 436 | 1,461 | 10 | 75 | 0 | 5 | 1,987 |
| Copeland | Egremont North | 3,424 | 519 | 880 | 85 | 640 | 53 | 8 | 2,185 |
| Copeland | Egremont South | 2,872 | 356 | 957 | 56 | 414 | 43 | 7 | 1,833 |
| Copeland | Ennerdale | 779 | 249 | 0 | 86 | 61 | 99 | 1 | 496 |
| Copeland | Frizington | 1,968 | 327 | 872 | 7 | 47 | 0 | 3 | 1,256 |
| Copeland | Gosforth | 1,080 | 553 | 111 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 2 | 689 |
| Copeland | Harbour | 3,115 | 383 | 603 | 105 | 813 | 76 | 8 | 1,988 |
| Copeland | Haverigg | 1,422 | 463 | 345 | 7 | 50 | 39 | 3 | 907 |
| Copeland | Hensingham | 3,218 | 379 | 1,580 | 11 | 79 | 0 | 5 | 2,054 |
| Copeland | Hillcrest | 2,029 | 816 | 429 | 6 | 41 | 0 | 3 | 1,295 |
| Copeland | Holborn Hill | 1,904 | 673 | 493 | 6 | 40 | 0 | 3 | 1,215 |
| Copeland | Kells | 1,886 | 225 | 582 | 46 | 347 | 0 | 4 | 1,204 |
| Copeland | Millom Without | 1,061 | 462 | 0 | 11 | 80 | 122 | 2 | 677 |
| Copeland | Mirehouse | 3,455 | 367 | 1,448 | 47 | 336 | 0 | 8 | 2,206 |
| Copeland | Moresby | 1,063 | 291 | 215 | 20 | 150 | 0 | 3 | 679 |
| Copeland | Newtown | 2,689 | 1,256 | 297 | 12 | 83 | 63 | 5 | 1,716 |
| Copeland | Sandwith | 1,889 | 279 | 872 | 6 | 45 | 0 | 3 | 1,205 |
| Copeland | Seascale | 2,167 | 1,164 | 171 | 6 | 40 | 0 | 3 | 1,384 |
| Copeland | St Bees | 1,382 | 595 | 168 | 93 | 24 | 0 | 2 | 882 |
| Total | 62,120 | 16,111 | 15,497 | 1,367 | 5,513 | 1,034 | 117 | 39,639 | |
Please note that general election results and electorates are not officially made available ward-by-ward. The numbers shown are our best estimates for these figures, but are not official.
