This exercise is quite a leap of faith due to the not to reliable nature of opinion polls. and the not altogether up to date data records we have about our nations population. Then to add to the mix you have to try to predict how many will turn out. But it still makes for an interesting bit of information mining to see what gems we have turned up.
So we have used the age range from the latest yougov polling
In the table below you will find the percentages taken from This YOUGOV Poll I have extrapolated that turnout is those who don't know or won't vote will just not vote. So the rest would vote, it is an important vote after all. The population figures are taken from this SOURCE
Feel free to comment on your thoughts of the results or methodology.
In each age category you will see the yougov share of that age group for the person or others and then the votes that equates too after turnout.
AGE RANGE | 18-24 | 25-39 | 40-59 | 60+ | Total Votes |
Leave | 27% - 1,034,700 | 37% - 2,989,880 | 48% - 6,682,234 | 66% - 7,396,082 | 18,102,896 |
Remain | 73% - 2,797,522 | 63% - 5,090,877 | 52% - 7,239,088 | 34% - 3,810,103 | 18,937,590 |
Eligible Voters Turnout Voters Turnout | 5,895,728 3,832,223 65% | 12,626,183 8,080,757 64% | 16,977,222 13,921,322 82% | 14,185,045 11,206,185 79% |
In respects of the 18-24 section the date was 15-19 and 20 to 24 so to get the figure I divided the 15-19 by 5 and times 2 then added to the 20-24 data.
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