Survation - First EU opinion polling conducted since specific demands for EU reform were outlined by David Cameron <<< link to poll
I do plan in future once I have the electorate to breakdown England into London and also North & South England as this also adds to the variance as London has a high remain factor, but also has a low turnout factor.
Country | electorate | leave / remain | Leave (70% turnout) | Remain (70% Turnout) |
England | 38,806,649 | 54.3 / 45.7 | 14,750,407 | 12,414,246 |
Scotland | 4,094,784 | 40.2 / 59.2 | 1,152,272 | 1,696,878 |
Wales | 2,282,297 | 52 / 48 | 830,756 | 766,851 |
Northern Ireland | 1,236,683 | 44 / 56 | 380,898 | 484,779 |
Total | 46,420,413 | 17,114,333 | 15,362,754 | |
Leave / Remain figures are based on a 70% turnout.
Survation #EUref Polling
England
Leave 54.3%
Remain 45.7%
Scotland
Leave 40.2%
Remain 59.2%
Wales
L 52%
R 48%
N.Ireland
L 44%
R 56%
— General Election (@UKGE2020) November 13, 2015
Happy to hear / read any comments.